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The Black Swan

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The Black Swan

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Description
THE BLACK SWAN is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. Why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and shows us how to face the world.
Product details
Binding:
Paperback
Edition:
2
Number of Pages:
480
Release Date:
2008-02-28
Publication Date:
2008-02-28
Publisher:
Penguin Books Ltd (UK)
Languages:
Original: English
ISBN10:
0141034599
ISBN13:
9780141034591
GPSR Manufacturer Reference:
Weight:
358 g
Height:
194 cm
Width:
127 cm
Thickness:
33 cm

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Very good
Almost no signs of wear. Book pages have no markings, accessories are intact and all other media are in good condition.
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