Cognitive Strategies in Stochastic Thinking (Theory and Decision Library A:, 2, Band 2)

Toward an Understanding of Individual Decision Making Under Uncertainty.- I.- The "Base-Rate Fallacy" " Heuristics and/or the Modeling of Judgmental Biases by Information Weights.- A Conceptualization of the Multitude of Strategies in Base-Rate Problems.- Modes of Thought and Problem Framing in the Stochastic Thinking of Students and Experts (Sophisticated Decision Makers).- II.- Stochastic Thinking, Modes of Thought, and A Framework for the Process and Structure of Human Information Processing.